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逆勢(shì)而上 版權(quán)信息
- ISBN：9787547618837
- 條形碼：9787547618837 ; 978-7-5476-1883-7
- 裝幀：平裝-膠訂
- 冊(cè)數(shù)：暫無(wú)
- 重量：暫無(wú)
- 所屬分類(lèi)：>>
逆勢(shì)而上 本書(shū)特色
本書(shū)關(guān)注當(dāng)下中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)、商業(yè)發(fā)展的動(dòng)態(tài)，緊跟國(guó)際形勢(shì)和國(guó)內(nèi)發(fā)展大政方針，從外國(guó)友人的視角客觀看待中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，力求通過(guò)詳實(shí)的數(shù)據(jù)和專(zhuān)業(yè)的分析向國(guó)外讀者呈現(xiàn)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的客觀發(fā)展情況，成為外國(guó)人了解中國(guó)和中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的窗口，幫助國(guó)際讀者對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的了解和理解，為講好中國(guó)故事、傳播中國(guó)在國(guó)際公共事件中的治理理念、凝聚全球共識(shí)貢獻(xiàn)力量。
逆勢(shì)而上 內(nèi)容簡(jiǎn)介
本書(shū)是柯馬克2020—2021年為**財(cái)經(jīng)定期撰寫(xiě)的關(guān)于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展分析的原創(chuàng)評(píng)論文章匯編。在書(shū)中，柯馬克結(jié)合當(dāng)下中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展情況，通過(guò)扎實(shí)的數(shù)據(jù)以及專(zhuān)業(yè)的分析，向海內(nèi)外商界決策人士講述中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展模式及其背后的發(fā)展邏輯，深入分析在當(dāng)前復(fù)雜多變的形勢(shì)下，中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)如何突破困難，逆勢(shì)而上。本書(shū)力求以可靠的作品文字和專(zhuān)業(yè)的數(shù)據(jù)分析，增加國(guó)際讀者對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的了解和理解，提升中國(guó)的國(guó)際傳播能力和水平，向世界講好中國(guó)故事。
逆勢(shì)而上 目錄
CONTENTS
Part I Growth and Risk Over the Medium Term 1
How Fast Will China Grow Over the Next 15 Years 3
China’s Path to High-Income Status Lessons from Recent
Success Stories 11
Can China Be the Next South Korea 23
Beidou China’s First Outer Space Infrastructure Project 33
PBOC’s Virtual Renminbi Is Becoming a Reality 38
China’s High-Speed Rail A Case Study in Independent Innovation 46
5G and the Competition to Win the 21st Century 52
Is China’s Investment Really That Unproductive 58
How Sustainable Is China’s Debt 66
China Needs More Defaults and More Meaningful Credit Ratings 77
Is China Facing a Demographic Crisis 84
How Can China Promote a Sustainable Increase in Household
Consumption 94
Mooncake Madness 102
American Families Only Half as Rich as Those in Chinese Cities 107
How Should We Think About Rising Home Prices 113
Property Developers: Debt Taking Aim at the Grey Rhino 122
Why Not Eliminate Corporate Income Taxes 130
How Can China Achieve Carbon Neutrality By 2060 140
Part II Data and Analytic Techniques 149
China’s Economy The View From the IMF 151
Are Central Banks Behind the Curve on Inflation 159
Big Mac Prices — No Bull 170
Is the US Chip Export Ban Consistent With Its WTO Commitments 180
Can Robots Help Mitigate China’s Demographic Decline 188
The Demise of China’s Private Sector Greatly Exaggerated 201
Part III China and the Rest of the World 213
US Companies In China for the Long Haul 215
Will Japanese Firms Desert China 224
Shall the Twain Never Meet 232
The High Cost of US-China Decoupling 244
China’s Balance of Payments Show the Dual Circulation Strategy
at Work 250
How Long Will Foreign Investors’ Love Affair With Chinese Bonds
Last 261
Can China and the US Cooperate and Reform the WTO 271
Are the Worst in US-China Relations Behind Us 279
China and American Foreign Policy for the Middle Class 289
Part IV The Pandemic and the Chinese Government’s Response 295
Advice from VoxEu Act Fast and Do Whatever It Takes 297
How Will China Manage Massive Layoffs 303
Is China Decapitalizing Its Banks 309
Are the Chinese Banks Really Supporting the Recovery 317
COVID 19 Is Accelerating China-US Convergence 326
Trust in Chinese Government Defies Global Trend 332
目 錄
部分 中期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn) / 2
未來(lái)15年中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)期增速是多少? / 7
中國(guó)通向高收入國(guó)家之路 / 17
中國(guó)會(huì)成為下一個(gè)韓國(guó)嗎? / 28
北斗:中國(guó)首個(gè)外太空基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)工程 / 35
中國(guó)人民銀行虛擬人民幣正在成為現(xiàn)實(shí) / 42
中國(guó)高鐵:自主創(chuàng)新的案例研究 / 49
5G 與贏得21世紀(jì)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng) / 55
中國(guó)的投資真的沒(méi)有收益嗎? / 62
中國(guó)的債務(wù)有多可持續(xù)? / 72
中國(guó)債券市場(chǎng)需要更多“違約”和更有意義的信用等級(jí)評(píng)定 / 81
中國(guó)是否面臨人口危機(jī)? / 89
如何促進(jìn)中國(guó)家庭消費(fèi)的可持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)? / 98
月餅狂熱 / 105
美國(guó)家庭只有中國(guó)城市家庭一半富有 / 110
我們應(yīng)該如何看待房?jī)r(jià)不斷上漲? / 118
房地產(chǎn)開(kāi)發(fā)商債務(wù):瞄準(zhǔn)“灰犀牛” / 126
何不取消企業(yè)所得稅? / 135
中國(guó)如何在2060年前實(shí)現(xiàn)碳中和? / 144
第二部分 數(shù)據(jù)及分析技巧 / 150
中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì):國(guó)際貨幣基金組織如是觀 / 155
中央銀行在通脹問(wèn)題上落后了嗎? / 165
巨無(wú)霸?xún)r(jià)格:牛年不吹牛 / 175
美國(guó)芯片出口禁令符合其世界貿(mào)易組織承諾嗎? / 184
機(jī)器人能否幫助緩解中國(guó)人口下降的趨勢(shì)? / 194
中國(guó)私營(yíng)部門(mén)的敗落:被過(guò)分夸大了 / 207
第三部分 中國(guó)與世界 / 214
美國(guó)公司:在中國(guó)作長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)打算 / 220
日本企業(yè)會(huì)離開(kāi)中國(guó)嗎? / 228
無(wú)問(wèn)西東,相向而行 / 238
中美“脫鉤”的高昂代價(jià) / 247
中國(guó)的國(guó)際收支表明“雙循環(huán)”戰(zhàn)略正在奏效 / 256
外國(guó)投資者和中國(guó)債券的“戀情”會(huì)持續(xù)多久? / 266
中美可以合作并改革世界貿(mào)易組織嗎? / 275
中美關(guān)系觸底了嗎? / 284
中國(guó)與美國(guó)對(duì)中產(chǎn)階級(jí)的外交政策 / 292
第四部分 新冠肺炎疫情和中國(guó)政府的應(yīng)對(duì)之策 / 296
來(lái)自VoxEu的建議:不惜一切代價(jià)迅速行動(dòng) / 300
中國(guó)將如何應(yīng)對(duì)大規(guī)模裁員? / 306
中國(guó)欲削減銀行資本? / 313
銀行真在支持中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇嗎? / 322
新冠肺炎疫情加速縮小中美經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模的差距 / 329
全球信任度下滑之際,中國(guó)政府信任度逆勢(shì)上升 / 336
Part I Growth and Risk Over the Medium Term 1
How Fast Will China Grow Over the Next 15 Years 3
China’s Path to High-Income Status Lessons from Recent
Success Stories 11
Can China Be the Next South Korea 23
Beidou China’s First Outer Space Infrastructure Project 33
PBOC’s Virtual Renminbi Is Becoming a Reality 38
China’s High-Speed Rail A Case Study in Independent Innovation 46
5G and the Competition to Win the 21st Century 52
Is China’s Investment Really That Unproductive 58
How Sustainable Is China’s Debt 66
China Needs More Defaults and More Meaningful Credit Ratings 77
Is China Facing a Demographic Crisis 84
How Can China Promote a Sustainable Increase in Household
Consumption 94
Mooncake Madness 102
American Families Only Half as Rich as Those in Chinese Cities 107
How Should We Think About Rising Home Prices 113
Property Developers: Debt Taking Aim at the Grey Rhino 122
Why Not Eliminate Corporate Income Taxes 130
How Can China Achieve Carbon Neutrality By 2060 140
Part II Data and Analytic Techniques 149
China’s Economy The View From the IMF 151
Are Central Banks Behind the Curve on Inflation 159
Big Mac Prices — No Bull 170
Is the US Chip Export Ban Consistent With Its WTO Commitments 180
Can Robots Help Mitigate China’s Demographic Decline 188
The Demise of China’s Private Sector Greatly Exaggerated 201
Part III China and the Rest of the World 213
US Companies In China for the Long Haul 215
Will Japanese Firms Desert China 224
Shall the Twain Never Meet 232
The High Cost of US-China Decoupling 244
China’s Balance of Payments Show the Dual Circulation Strategy
at Work 250
How Long Will Foreign Investors’ Love Affair With Chinese Bonds
Last 261
Can China and the US Cooperate and Reform the WTO 271
Are the Worst in US-China Relations Behind Us 279
China and American Foreign Policy for the Middle Class 289
Part IV The Pandemic and the Chinese Government’s Response 295
Advice from VoxEu Act Fast and Do Whatever It Takes 297
How Will China Manage Massive Layoffs 303
Is China Decapitalizing Its Banks 309
Are the Chinese Banks Really Supporting the Recovery 317
COVID 19 Is Accelerating China-US Convergence 326
Trust in Chinese Government Defies Global Trend 332
目 錄
部分 中期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn) / 2
未來(lái)15年中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)期增速是多少? / 7
中國(guó)通向高收入國(guó)家之路 / 17
中國(guó)會(huì)成為下一個(gè)韓國(guó)嗎? / 28
北斗:中國(guó)首個(gè)外太空基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)工程 / 35
中國(guó)人民銀行虛擬人民幣正在成為現(xiàn)實(shí) / 42
中國(guó)高鐵:自主創(chuàng)新的案例研究 / 49
5G 與贏得21世紀(jì)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng) / 55
中國(guó)的投資真的沒(méi)有收益嗎? / 62
中國(guó)的債務(wù)有多可持續(xù)? / 72
中國(guó)債券市場(chǎng)需要更多“違約”和更有意義的信用等級(jí)評(píng)定 / 81
中國(guó)是否面臨人口危機(jī)? / 89
如何促進(jìn)中國(guó)家庭消費(fèi)的可持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)? / 98
月餅狂熱 / 105
美國(guó)家庭只有中國(guó)城市家庭一半富有 / 110
我們應(yīng)該如何看待房?jī)r(jià)不斷上漲? / 118
房地產(chǎn)開(kāi)發(fā)商債務(wù):瞄準(zhǔn)“灰犀牛” / 126
何不取消企業(yè)所得稅? / 135
中國(guó)如何在2060年前實(shí)現(xiàn)碳中和? / 144
第二部分 數(shù)據(jù)及分析技巧 / 150
中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì):國(guó)際貨幣基金組織如是觀 / 155
中央銀行在通脹問(wèn)題上落后了嗎? / 165
巨無(wú)霸?xún)r(jià)格:牛年不吹牛 / 175
美國(guó)芯片出口禁令符合其世界貿(mào)易組織承諾嗎? / 184
機(jī)器人能否幫助緩解中國(guó)人口下降的趨勢(shì)? / 194
中國(guó)私營(yíng)部門(mén)的敗落:被過(guò)分夸大了 / 207
第三部分 中國(guó)與世界 / 214
美國(guó)公司:在中國(guó)作長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)打算 / 220
日本企業(yè)會(huì)離開(kāi)中國(guó)嗎? / 228
無(wú)問(wèn)西東,相向而行 / 238
中美“脫鉤”的高昂代價(jià) / 247
中國(guó)的國(guó)際收支表明“雙循環(huán)”戰(zhàn)略正在奏效 / 256
外國(guó)投資者和中國(guó)債券的“戀情”會(huì)持續(xù)多久? / 266
中美可以合作并改革世界貿(mào)易組織嗎? / 275
中美關(guān)系觸底了嗎? / 284
中國(guó)與美國(guó)對(duì)中產(chǎn)階級(jí)的外交政策 / 292
第四部分 新冠肺炎疫情和中國(guó)政府的應(yīng)對(duì)之策 / 296
來(lái)自VoxEu的建議:不惜一切代價(jià)迅速行動(dòng) / 300
中國(guó)將如何應(yīng)對(duì)大規(guī)模裁員? / 306
中國(guó)欲削減銀行資本? / 313
銀行真在支持中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇嗎? / 322
新冠肺炎疫情加速縮小中美經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模的差距 / 329
全球信任度下滑之際,中國(guó)政府信任度逆勢(shì)上升 / 336
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逆勢(shì)而上 作者簡(jiǎn)介
柯馬克（Mark Kruger），加拿大經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家，現(xiàn)定居上海。現(xiàn)任一財(cái)全球評(píng)論版主編，一財(cái)研究院、加拿大國(guó)際治理創(chuàng)新中心（CIGI）和加拿大阿爾伯塔大學(xué)中國(guó)學(xué)院高級(jí)研究員。曾任加拿大央行國(guó)際部高級(jí)政策主任、國(guó)際貨幣基金組織（IMF）加拿大執(zhí)行董事高級(jí)顧問(wèn)、加拿大駐華大使館財(cái)經(jīng)處負(fù)責(zé)人。作為長(zhǎng)期在中國(guó)生活并熟悉中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家，以及堅(jiān)定的友華人士，馬克以數(shù)據(jù)分析為驅(qū)動(dòng)，通過(guò)過(guò)硬的專(zhuān)業(yè)水準(zhǔn)向海外政商界決策人士講述中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展模式及其背后的發(fā)展邏輯。 Mark Kruger is a Canadian economist now based in Shanghai. He is the Opinion Editor at Yicai Global. He holds Senior Fellow appointments at the Yicai Research Institute, the Centre for International Governance Innovation and University of Alberta’s China Institute. Previously, Mark was a Senior Policy Director in the Bank of Canada’s International Department, a Senior Advisor to the Canadian Executive Director at the IMF and head of the Economic and Financial Section in the Canadian Embassy in Beijing. Mark began his career at the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission. You can find Mark’s short, data-driven insights into China’s economy here: https://www.yicaiglobal.com/opinion/mark.kruger.
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